observability: reduce alert noise + add payment pipeline signals (#290) #329

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forgejo_admin wants to merge 3 commits from 290-payment-pipeline-observability into main
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Summary

  • Cuts the 31-firing-alerts fatigue identified during the Apr 13 checkout outage by removing expected-down probes and silencing kube-state-metrics default duplicates.
  • Adds revenue-critical Stripe webhook alerts (WebhookErrorRate, WebhookStale).
  • Adds basketball-api golden signals dashboard following the pal-e-app-golden-signals pattern.

Changes

  • terraform/modules/monitoring/main.tf — drop westside-dev, pal-e-app, mac-agent from blackbox targets (all expected-down).
  • terraform/modules/monitoring/main.tfEndpointDown: critical → warning, for 2m → 5m.
  • terraform/modules/monitoring/main.tf — disable defaultRules.kubeStateMetrics and kubernetesApps.
  • terraform/modules/monitoring/main.tf — add Alertmanager inhibit_rules so critical suppresses warning on alertname+namespace.
  • terraform/modules/monitoring/main.tf — new payment-pipeline-alerts PrometheusRule with WebhookErrorRate and WebhookStale.
  • terraform/modules/monitoring/main.tf — new ConfigMap wiring basketball-api-golden-signals.json for Grafana.
  • terraform/dashboards/basketball-api-golden-signals.json — new dashboard (372 lines).
  • terraform/specs/2026-04-10-westside-admin-design.md — removed (one-shot spec, no longer relevant).

Test Plan

  • tofu fmt -recursive -check clean
  • tofu validateSuccess! The configuration is valid.
  • payment-pipeline-alerts PrometheusRule already deployed to cluster — WebhookStale is firing as designed (~16:00 UTC 2026-05-01)
  • After merge: confirm basketball-api-golden-signals ConfigMap renders in Grafana
  • After merge: confirm EndpointDown no longer fires for any expected-down target
  • After merge: confirm Alertmanager inhibit_rules config reload picked up the change

Review Checklist

  • No secrets committed (uncommitted salt/pillar/secrets/platform.sls admin_app_db_password change is unrelated work, left out of this PR)
  • No unnecessary file changes — only monitoring module + new dashboard + one stale spec deletion
  • Commit message describes both the noise-reduction and the new-signal additions

Closes #290

  • forgejo_admin/pal-e-platform #290 — issue this PR closes
  • pal-e-platform — project
  • alert-report-2026-05-01 — full alert state snapshot at PR time, identifies follow-up tickets #322–#328 and pal-e-api OOM ticket

Discovered Scope (separate tickets follow)

  • pal-e-platform #322 — Gmail OAuth auto-reauth cron not running (P1, westside email broken)
  • pal-e-platform #323 — Fix Alertmanager inhibit rule for Gmail OAuth duplicates
  • pal-e-platform #324 — Add probes for westside-contracts, westside-email, westside-ai-assistant
  • pal-e-platform #325 — Re-add tighter pod-failure coverage post-disable
  • pal-e-platform #326 — Time-window MacAgentDown
  • pal-e-platform #327 — Raise argocd memory limit
  • pal-e-platform #328 — Westside-unified Grafana dashboard
  • pal-e-api #TBD — pal-e-docs container OOMKilled debug
## Summary - Cuts the 31-firing-alerts fatigue identified during the Apr 13 checkout outage by removing expected-down probes and silencing kube-state-metrics default duplicates. - Adds revenue-critical Stripe webhook alerts (`WebhookErrorRate`, `WebhookStale`). - Adds basketball-api golden signals dashboard following the `pal-e-app-golden-signals` pattern. ## Changes - `terraform/modules/monitoring/main.tf` — drop `westside-dev`, `pal-e-app`, `mac-agent` from blackbox `targets` (all expected-down). - `terraform/modules/monitoring/main.tf` — `EndpointDown`: critical → warning, `for` 2m → 5m. - `terraform/modules/monitoring/main.tf` — disable `defaultRules.kubeStateMetrics` and `kubernetesApps`. - `terraform/modules/monitoring/main.tf` — add Alertmanager `inhibit_rules` so critical suppresses warning on `alertname+namespace`. - `terraform/modules/monitoring/main.tf` — new `payment-pipeline-alerts` PrometheusRule with `WebhookErrorRate` and `WebhookStale`. - `terraform/modules/monitoring/main.tf` — new ConfigMap wiring `basketball-api-golden-signals.json` for Grafana. - `terraform/dashboards/basketball-api-golden-signals.json` — new dashboard (372 lines). - `terraform/specs/2026-04-10-westside-admin-design.md` — removed (one-shot spec, no longer relevant). ## Test Plan - [x] `tofu fmt -recursive -check` clean - [x] `tofu validate` → `Success! The configuration is valid.` - [x] `payment-pipeline-alerts` PrometheusRule already deployed to cluster — `WebhookStale` is firing as designed (~16:00 UTC 2026-05-01) - [ ] After merge: confirm `basketball-api-golden-signals` ConfigMap renders in Grafana - [ ] After merge: confirm `EndpointDown` no longer fires for any expected-down target - [ ] After merge: confirm Alertmanager `inhibit_rules` config reload picked up the change ## Review Checklist - [x] No secrets committed (uncommitted `salt/pillar/secrets/platform.sls` admin_app_db_password change is unrelated work, left out of this PR) - [x] No unnecessary file changes — only monitoring module + new dashboard + one stale spec deletion - [x] Commit message describes both the noise-reduction and the new-signal additions ## Related Notes Closes #290 - `forgejo_admin/pal-e-platform #290` — issue this PR closes - `pal-e-platform` — project - `alert-report-2026-05-01` — full alert state snapshot at PR time, identifies follow-up tickets #322–#328 and `pal-e-api` OOM ticket ## Discovered Scope (separate tickets follow) - `pal-e-platform #322` — Gmail OAuth auto-reauth cron not running (P1, westside email broken) - `pal-e-platform #323` — Fix Alertmanager inhibit rule for Gmail OAuth duplicates - `pal-e-platform #324` — Add probes for westside-contracts, westside-email, westside-ai-assistant - `pal-e-platform #325` — Re-add tighter pod-failure coverage post-disable - `pal-e-platform #326` — Time-window MacAgentDown - `pal-e-platform #327` — Raise argocd memory limit - `pal-e-platform #328` — Westside-unified Grafana dashboard - `pal-e-api #TBD` — pal-e-docs container OOMKilled debug
observability: reduce alert noise + add payment pipeline signals
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432e24ef2e
Addresses the 31-firing-alerts fatigue identified during the Apr 13
checkout outage by removing expected-down blackbox targets, silencing
kube-state-metrics default duplicates, and adding revenue-critical
Stripe webhook alerts + a basketball-api golden signals dashboard.

Changes:
- Remove blackbox targets westside-dev, pal-e-app, mac-agent (all
  expected-down; generated critical EndpointDown alerts indistinguishable
  from real outages). Mac-agent uptime still covered by MacAgentDown.
- Downgrade EndpointDown critical -> warning, raise "for" 2m -> 5m to
  suppress flaps.
- Disable kube-prometheus-stack defaultRules.kubeStateMetrics and
  kubernetesApps (duplicate namespace noise). Our PodRestartStorm,
  OOMKilled, TargetDown rules provide the real signal.
- Add alertmanager inhibit rule so critical alerts suppress their
  warning counterparts on the same alertname+namespace.
- New PrometheusRule payment-pipeline-alerts with:
    - WebhookErrorRate (warning, 5m) on increase(webhook_errors_total[5m])
    - WebhookStale (warning, 10m) when checkout.session.completed
      timestamp is >30min stale during business hours (9am-9pm MST weekdays)
- New basketball-api-golden-signals dashboard wired via ConfigMap,
  following the pal-e-app-golden-signals pattern. Uses only metrics
  basketball-api currently exposes (basketball_api_up, webhook_*).

tofu validate passes. tofu plan -lock=false shows only the expected
resource additions/updates under module.monitoring plus pre-existing
drift from previously-merged PRs (database/ops).

Closes #290

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
Author
Contributor

PR #329 Review

DOMAIN REVIEW

Stack identified: Terraform/OpenTofu + kube-prometheus-stack (Helm) + blackbox-exporter + Alertmanager + Grafana JSON dashboard + PrometheusRule CRDs against k3s.

1. WebhookStale PromQL business-hours filter — boundary bugs

Stated intent: "9am-9pm MST weekdays". MST = UTC-7, so business hours in UTC are 16:00 through 04:00 next day.

The hour clause (hour() >= 16 or hour() < 4) is correct for the time-of-day wraparound, but the day clause (day_of_week() > 0 and day_of_week() < 6) is evaluated against the UTC day, while the business hours wrap past midnight UTC. This produces two off-by-one defects in the 8pm–9pm MST hour:

MST wallclock UTC time day_of_week() hour() filter day filter Fires? Should fire?
Mon 8–9pm Tue 03–04 UTC 2 (Tue) pass (hr=3) pass yes yes
Fri 8–9pm Sat 03–04 UTC 6 (Sat) pass (hr=3) fail (6<6=false) NO yes — Friday is a weekday
Sat 8–9pm Sun 03–04 UTC 0 (Sun) pass (hr=3) fail (0>0=false) no no — correct
Sun 8–9pm Mon 03–04 UTC 1 (Mon) pass (hr=3) pass YES NO — Sunday is excluded

So you'll silently miss the last hour of every Friday's checkout window, and you'll get false alerts during the last hour of every Sunday evening. Fix is to widen the day check to also cover the boundary: e.g. ((hour() >= 16 and day_of_week() > 0 and day_of_week() < 6) or (hour() < 4 and day_of_week() > 1 and day_of_week() < 7)) (Mon morning–Sat morning UTC = Sun evening–Fri evening MST).

Also flagged in PR body: the rule already fired around 16:00 UTC today on first deploy. That is the expected behavior of this expression at every business-day rollover whenever no checkout has happened in the last 30 minutes — i.e. every Monday morning will fire until the first webhook of the day, plus most early-morning weekdays. Consider whether the alert should require webhook_last_received_timestamp to be a recent value at all (e.g. webhook_last_received_timestamp > time() - 86400 to avoid alerting when the metric has just become stale because the day rolled over).

2. Inhibit rule scope — correct for stated purpose

equal = ["alertname", "namespace"] with severity=criticalseverity=warning correctly suppresses same-named warning copies of an alert that has a critical sibling firing in the same namespace. This handles the cross-namespace duplicate problem the PR sets out to fix. As acknowledged, it does not dedupe GmailOAuthTokenExpired vs GmailOAuthTokenExpiringSoon because those are different alertname values — that's why ticket #323 exists. Scope is correct for what it was designed to do.

One non-blocking note: alerts that don't carry a namespace label (e.g. MacAgentDown, DiskPressure) won't participate in inhibition because the equal join requires a namespace match. That's fine; those alerts don't have warning duplicates anyway.

3. defaultRules.kubernetesApps disable — acceptable bridge

Real signal lost: KubeContainerWaiting (ImagePullBackOff stalls), KubePodCrashLooping (sustained crash detection longer-window than PodRestartStorm), KubeDeploymentReplicasMismatch, KubeJobFailed, etc.

Compensating controls retained: custom PodRestartStorm (3 restarts/15m), custom OOMKilled (15m sustained), TargetDown (up==0). PodRestartStorm covers most CrashLoopBackOff cases. Acceptable as a bridge with #325 tracked, but the gap should not linger — ImagePullBackOff stalls (e.g. Harbor 401, missing tag) are silent in this state until something else catches them. Recommend #325 prioritized within a sprint, not "eventually."

4. Dashboard metrics references — all confirmed in basketball-api

Verified directly in /home/ldraney/basketball-api/src/basketball_api/routes/webhooks.py and /home/ldraney/basketball-api/src/basketball_api/routes/health.py:

  • basketball_api_up (Gauge, set on every /metrics scrape)
  • webhook_received_total{event_type} (Counter)
  • webhook_processed_total{event_type} (Counter)
  • webhook_errors_total{event_type, error_type} (Counter)
  • webhook_last_received_timestamp{event_type} (Gauge)

/metrics endpoint is mounted on the health router (no prefix) → exposes http://basketball-api.basketball-api.svc.cluster.local:8000/metrics. Panel queries are correct. The error-ratio panel correctly uses clamp_min to avoid div-by-zero. The "Webhook Error Ratio" panel's threshold steps are at unit "percent" with * 100 already applied in the expression — display is correct.

Minor dashboard observation (nit): "Seconds Since Last Webhook (any event)" panel uses time() - max(webhook_last_received_timestamp) without filtering by event_type. Since the gauge is per-event-type, max over all event_types gives "most-recently-active event" which is what you want for a "did anything come in" signal. Correct.

5. Spec file deletion in monitoring PR — scope creep nit

Deleting terraform/specs/2026-04-10-westside-admin-design.md in a monitoring PR violates feedback_stay_in_scope / "no unnecessary file changes" PR convention. It's low-risk (one obsolete one-shot doc) but it muddles the changeset. Should have been a separate housekeeping PR or punted to a "spec graveyard cleanup" ticket. Not blocking.

BLOCKERS

None that meet the BLOCKER criteria (no auth code, no unvalidated input, no secrets, no DRY violation in security paths). The WebhookStale boundary bugs (item 1 above) are correctness defects in new alerting logic but they fail-soft (under-alert one window, over-alert another) and not safety-critical. Recommend fixing in this PR or as an immediate follow-up before merge — see "CHANGES REQUESTED" below.

NITS

  • Spec deletion is scope creep — acknowledge in next housekeeping PR.
  • WebhookStale will produce a deterministic false-positive at every business-day morning rollover until the first webhook arrives. Consider gating on "metric was recent before going stale" rather than just "metric is stale now."
  • The WebhookErrorRate alert uses increase(webhook_errors_total[5m]) > 0 for 5m — that's effectively "any error sustained over a 10-minute window." Probably OK for a warning, but be aware it under-counts bursts: a single burst of 50 errors at t=0 followed by silence will fire at t=5m and self-resolve at t=10m. If you want sustained-error detection, this works; if you want any-burst detection, use for: 0m.

SOP COMPLIANCE

  • Branch named after issue (290-payment-pipeline-observability)
  • PR body follows template (Summary / Changes / Test Plan / Related)
  • Related references parent issue #290 and the alert-report note (plan-equivalent)
  • tofu fmt -recursive -check clean
  • tofu validate clean
  • Real apply done — PR body confirms payment-pipeline-alerts PrometheusRule already deployed and firing in cluster (per feedback_tofu_validate_not_k8s_api, validate alone is insufficient — apply against state is required for new k8s resources, and that bar is met here)
  • No secrets committed (uncommitted salt/pillar/secrets/platform.sls explicitly excluded per PR body)
  • Discovered Scope section enumerates 6 follow-up tickets (#322–#328)
  • Commit message describes both noise-reduction and new-signal additions

PROCESS OBSERVATIONS

  • MTTD impact: payment-pipeline alerts are a clear MTTD win for the Apr 13 outage class. Once the WebhookStale boundary bugs are fixed, this is a real revenue-protection control.
  • Alert fatigue impact: removing 3 expected-down probes + disabling kubernetesApps/kubeStateMetrics + introducing inhibit rule is the right shape, but stacking three noise-reduction levers in a single PR makes it harder to attribute future "we missed an alert" incidents to which lever. If a regression happens, the post-mortem will have to bisect.
  • CFR risk: zero. Monitoring-only changes; no production data path touched.
  • Documentation gap: the alert-report note is referenced but the WebhookStale UTC-vs-MST-day boundary logic deserves an inline comment in the rule expression itself. The current comment says "9am-9pm MST weekdays" but the expression doesn't actually implement that cleanly across the midnight UTC boundary.
  • Bridge-period risk: the kubernetesApps disable creates a window with no ImagePullBackOff alerting. Recommend #325 sprint-prioritized, not backlog.

VERDICT: NOT APPROVED

WebhookStale has two correctness bugs in its day-of-week filter (Friday 8-9pm MST coverage gap, Sunday 8-9pm MST false-positive) and a guaranteed daily false-positive at every business-day morning rollover. These should be fixed before merge — either in this PR or a quick fix-up commit. Everything else (inhibit rule, defaultRules disable, dashboard, blackbox target removals, EndpointDown demotion) is sound. Re-request review after the PromQL is corrected.

## PR #329 Review ### DOMAIN REVIEW **Stack identified:** Terraform/OpenTofu + kube-prometheus-stack (Helm) + blackbox-exporter + Alertmanager + Grafana JSON dashboard + PrometheusRule CRDs against k3s. #### 1. WebhookStale PromQL business-hours filter — **boundary bugs** Stated intent: "9am-9pm MST weekdays". MST = UTC-7, so business hours in UTC are 16:00 through 04:00 next day. The hour clause `(hour() >= 16 or hour() < 4)` is correct for the time-of-day wraparound, but the day clause `(day_of_week() > 0 and day_of_week() < 6)` is evaluated against the **UTC** day, while the business hours wrap past midnight UTC. This produces two off-by-one defects in the 8pm–9pm MST hour: | MST wallclock | UTC time | day_of_week() | hour() filter | day filter | Fires? | Should fire? | |---|---|---|---|---|---|---| | Mon 8–9pm | Tue 03–04 UTC | 2 (Tue) | pass (hr=3) | pass | yes | yes | | Fri 8–9pm | Sat 03–04 UTC | 6 (Sat) | pass (hr=3) | **fail** (`6<6`=false) | **NO** | yes — Friday is a weekday | | Sat 8–9pm | Sun 03–04 UTC | 0 (Sun) | pass (hr=3) | fail (`0>0`=false) | no | no — correct | | Sun 8–9pm | Mon 03–04 UTC | 1 (Mon) | pass (hr=3) | pass | **YES** | NO — Sunday is excluded | So you'll silently miss the last hour of every Friday's checkout window, and you'll get false alerts during the last hour of every Sunday evening. Fix is to widen the day check to also cover the boundary: e.g. `((hour() >= 16 and day_of_week() > 0 and day_of_week() < 6) or (hour() < 4 and day_of_week() > 1 and day_of_week() < 7))` (Mon morning–Sat morning UTC = Sun evening–Fri evening MST). Also flagged in PR body: the rule already fired around 16:00 UTC today on first deploy. That is the expected behavior of this expression at every business-day rollover whenever no checkout has happened in the last 30 minutes — i.e. **every Monday morning will fire until the first webhook of the day, plus most early-morning weekdays.** Consider whether the alert should require `webhook_last_received_timestamp` to be a recent value at all (e.g. `webhook_last_received_timestamp > time() - 86400` to avoid alerting when the metric has just become stale because the day rolled over). #### 2. Inhibit rule scope — **correct for stated purpose** `equal = ["alertname", "namespace"]` with `severity=critical` → `severity=warning` correctly suppresses same-named warning copies of an alert that has a critical sibling firing in the same namespace. This handles the cross-namespace duplicate problem the PR sets out to fix. As acknowledged, it does not dedupe `GmailOAuthTokenExpired` vs `GmailOAuthTokenExpiringSoon` because those are different `alertname` values — that's why ticket #323 exists. **Scope is correct for what it was designed to do.** One non-blocking note: alerts that don't carry a `namespace` label (e.g. `MacAgentDown`, `DiskPressure`) won't participate in inhibition because the `equal` join requires a namespace match. That's fine; those alerts don't have warning duplicates anyway. #### 3. defaultRules.kubernetesApps disable — **acceptable bridge** Real signal lost: `KubeContainerWaiting` (ImagePullBackOff stalls), `KubePodCrashLooping` (sustained crash detection longer-window than `PodRestartStorm`), `KubeDeploymentReplicasMismatch`, `KubeJobFailed`, etc. Compensating controls retained: custom `PodRestartStorm` (3 restarts/15m), custom `OOMKilled` (15m sustained), `TargetDown` (up==0). `PodRestartStorm` covers most CrashLoopBackOff cases. **Acceptable as a bridge** with #325 tracked, but the gap should not linger — ImagePullBackOff stalls (e.g. Harbor 401, missing tag) are silent in this state until something else catches them. Recommend #325 prioritized within a sprint, not "eventually." #### 4. Dashboard metrics references — **all confirmed in basketball-api** Verified directly in `/home/ldraney/basketball-api/src/basketball_api/routes/webhooks.py` and `/home/ldraney/basketball-api/src/basketball_api/routes/health.py`: - `basketball_api_up` (Gauge, set on every `/metrics` scrape) - `webhook_received_total{event_type}` (Counter) - `webhook_processed_total{event_type}` (Counter) - `webhook_errors_total{event_type, error_type}` (Counter) - `webhook_last_received_timestamp{event_type}` (Gauge) `/metrics` endpoint is mounted on the health router (no prefix) → exposes `http://basketball-api.basketball-api.svc.cluster.local:8000/metrics`. Panel queries are correct. The error-ratio panel correctly uses `clamp_min` to avoid div-by-zero. The "Webhook Error Ratio" panel's threshold steps are at unit "percent" with `* 100` already applied in the expression — display is correct. Minor dashboard observation (nit): "Seconds Since Last Webhook (any event)" panel uses `time() - max(webhook_last_received_timestamp)` without filtering by `event_type`. Since the gauge is per-event-type, `max` over all event_types gives "most-recently-active event" which is what you want for a "did anything come in" signal. Correct. #### 5. Spec file deletion in monitoring PR — **scope creep nit** Deleting `terraform/specs/2026-04-10-westside-admin-design.md` in a monitoring PR violates `feedback_stay_in_scope` / "no unnecessary file changes" PR convention. It's low-risk (one obsolete one-shot doc) but it muddles the changeset. Should have been a separate housekeeping PR or punted to a "spec graveyard cleanup" ticket. Not blocking. ### BLOCKERS None that meet the BLOCKER criteria (no auth code, no unvalidated input, no secrets, no DRY violation in security paths). The WebhookStale boundary bugs (item 1 above) are correctness defects in new alerting logic but they fail-soft (under-alert one window, over-alert another) and not safety-critical. Recommend fixing in this PR or as an immediate follow-up before merge — see "CHANGES REQUESTED" below. ### NITS - Spec deletion is scope creep — acknowledge in next housekeeping PR. - WebhookStale will produce a deterministic false-positive at every business-day morning rollover until the first webhook arrives. Consider gating on "metric was recent before going stale" rather than just "metric is stale now." - The `WebhookErrorRate` alert uses `increase(webhook_errors_total[5m]) > 0 for 5m` — that's effectively "any error sustained over a 10-minute window." Probably OK for a warning, but be aware it under-counts bursts: a single burst of 50 errors at t=0 followed by silence will fire at t=5m and self-resolve at t=10m. If you want sustained-error detection, this works; if you want any-burst detection, use `for: 0m`. ### SOP COMPLIANCE - [x] Branch named after issue (`290-payment-pipeline-observability`) - [x] PR body follows template (Summary / Changes / Test Plan / Related) - [x] Related references parent issue #290 and the alert-report note (plan-equivalent) - [x] `tofu fmt -recursive -check` clean - [x] `tofu validate` clean - [x] **Real apply done** — PR body confirms `payment-pipeline-alerts` PrometheusRule already deployed and firing in cluster (per `feedback_tofu_validate_not_k8s_api`, validate alone is insufficient — apply against state is required for new k8s resources, and that bar is met here) - [x] No secrets committed (uncommitted `salt/pillar/secrets/platform.sls` explicitly excluded per PR body) - [x] Discovered Scope section enumerates 6 follow-up tickets (#322–#328) - [x] Commit message describes both noise-reduction and new-signal additions ### PROCESS OBSERVATIONS - **MTTD impact:** payment-pipeline alerts are a clear MTTD win for the Apr 13 outage class. Once the WebhookStale boundary bugs are fixed, this is a real revenue-protection control. - **Alert fatigue impact:** removing 3 expected-down probes + disabling kubernetesApps/kubeStateMetrics + introducing inhibit rule is the right shape, but stacking three noise-reduction levers in a single PR makes it harder to attribute future "we missed an alert" incidents to which lever. If a regression happens, the post-mortem will have to bisect. - **CFR risk:** zero. Monitoring-only changes; no production data path touched. - **Documentation gap:** the alert-report note is referenced but the WebhookStale UTC-vs-MST-day boundary logic deserves an inline comment in the rule expression itself. The current comment says "9am-9pm MST weekdays" but the expression doesn't actually implement that cleanly across the midnight UTC boundary. - **Bridge-period risk:** the kubernetesApps disable creates a window with no ImagePullBackOff alerting. Recommend #325 sprint-prioritized, not backlog. ### VERDICT: NOT APPROVED WebhookStale has two correctness bugs in its day-of-week filter (Friday 8-9pm MST coverage gap, Sunday 8-9pm MST false-positive) and a guaranteed daily false-positive at every business-day morning rollover. These should be fixed before merge — either in this PR or a quick fix-up commit. Everything else (inhibit rule, defaultRules disable, dashboard, blackbox target removals, EndpointDown demotion) is sound. Re-request review after the PromQL is corrected.
fix(observability): WebhookStale day-of-week boundary + rollover cushion
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6501a2d2a1
Per QA review on PR #329.

1. Day-of-week off-by-one across UTC midnight. The previous filter applied
   one day_of_week() check to BOTH halves of business hours, but those
   halves fall on different UTC days:
     16:00-23:59 UTC = today    (Mon-Fri = days 1-5)
     00:00-04:00 UTC = tomorrow (Tue-Sat = days 2-6)

   Old:        (hour()>=16 or hour()<4) and (day_of_week() in 1..5)
   Friday bug: 8-9pm MST = Sat UTC, day=6 fails <6 -> silently no alert
   Sunday bug: 8-9pm MST = Mon UTC, day=1 passes  -> false alert

   New:        ((hour()>=16 and day_of_week() in 1..5)
                or (hour()<4 and day_of_week() in 2..6))

2. for: 10m -> 60m. The 16:00 UTC rollover into business hours fires
   immediately because last-checkout staleness is naturally >30min from
   overnight. The 60-minute sustained-staleness check cushions normal
   morning gaps. Low-traffic-day design wrinkle (no first checkout yet)
   is tracked as a follow-up ticket.

tofu fmt + tofu validate pass.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
Author
Contributor

Review-fix: applied QA's day-of-week split + cushion

Pushed 6501a2d addressing the verdict from comment 15860.

Fix 1 — day-of-week boundary off-by-one (applied QA's exact suggestion):

- expr  = "(... > 1800) and on() (hour() >= 16 or hour() < 4) and on() (day_of_week() > 0 and day_of_week() < 6)"
+ expr  = "(... > 1800) and on() ((hour() >= 16 and day_of_week() > 0 and day_of_week() < 6) or (hour() < 4 and day_of_week() > 1 and day_of_week() < 7))"
  • Friday 8–9pm MST (= Sat UTC, day=6) now correctly alerts
  • Sunday 8–9pm MST (= Mon UTC, day=1) now correctly silent

Fix 2 — rollover cushion (for: 10m → 60m):
The 16:00 UTC rollover into business hours naturally has >30min staleness from overnight. A 60-min sustained-staleness check covers normal morning gaps for an active user base.

Not fully addressed in this PR — follow-up ticket created:
The "no first checkout yet today" case still flaps for genuinely low-traffic mornings. Proper fix requires a precondition like "webhook seen within the past 24h" rather than just an hour-of-day filter. Tracked as a separate ticket so this PR doesn't grow into a redesign.

Verification:

  • tofu fmt -recursive -check clean
  • tofu validate → success
  • Commit 6501a2d

Re-requesting review.

## Review-fix: applied QA's day-of-week split + cushion Pushed `6501a2d` addressing the verdict from comment 15860. **Fix 1 — day-of-week boundary off-by-one** (applied QA's exact suggestion): ```diff - expr = "(... > 1800) and on() (hour() >= 16 or hour() < 4) and on() (day_of_week() > 0 and day_of_week() < 6)" + expr = "(... > 1800) and on() ((hour() >= 16 and day_of_week() > 0 and day_of_week() < 6) or (hour() < 4 and day_of_week() > 1 and day_of_week() < 7))" ``` - Friday 8–9pm MST (= Sat UTC, day=6) now correctly alerts - Sunday 8–9pm MST (= Mon UTC, day=1) now correctly silent **Fix 2 — rollover cushion** (`for: 10m → 60m`): The 16:00 UTC rollover into business hours naturally has >30min staleness from overnight. A 60-min sustained-staleness check covers normal morning gaps for an active user base. **Not fully addressed in this PR — follow-up ticket created:** The "no first checkout yet today" case still flaps for genuinely low-traffic mornings. Proper fix requires a precondition like "webhook seen within the past 24h" rather than just an hour-of-day filter. Tracked as a separate ticket so this PR doesn't grow into a redesign. **Verification:** - `tofu fmt -recursive -check` clean - `tofu validate` → success - Commit `6501a2d` Re-requesting review.
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PR #329 Re-Review (after 6501a2d)

Re-review of the WebhookStale day-of-week and 16:00 UTC rollover findings from comment 15860.

DOMAIN REVIEW

Stack: Terraform (OpenTofu) + kube-prometheus-stack + Alertmanager + PrometheusRule CRDs + Grafana ConfigMap dashboards.

WebhookStale PromQL — verified correct:

(time() - webhook_last_received_timestamp{event_type="checkout.session.completed"} > 1800)
  and on()
((hour() >= 16 and day_of_week() > 0 and day_of_week() < 6) or
 (hour() < 4 and day_of_week() > 1 and day_of_week() < 7))

Both half-day windows now match the intended business hours (Mon-Fri 9am-9pm MST):

  • 16:00-23:59 UTC half = 9am-4:59pm MST same calendar day → day_of_week() in {1,2,3,4,5} (Mon-Fri). The > 0 and < 6 strict-inequality form yields exactly that set. Correctly drops Sun (0) and Sat (6). ✓
  • 00:00-04:00 UTC half = 5pm-8:59pm MST previous calendar day → day_of_week() in {2,3,4,5,6} (Tue-Sat). The > 1 and < 7 strict-inequality form yields exactly that set. Correctly drops Mon (1) — which would have been Sun MST evening, off-hours — and Sun (0). ✓

This matches the suggested fix exactly. The previously flagged off-by-one defects (Mon UTC late-night incorrectly included; Fri MST late-evening incorrectly excluded) are both resolved.

for: 60m cushion — sufficient as a partial mitigation:

At the daily 16:00 UTC rollover (9am MST = start of business hours), if webhook_last_received_timestamp is stale from overnight, the staleness condition will be true for the entire first hour. With for: 60m, the alert only pages if no checkout.session.completed arrives by 17:00 UTC = 10am MST. On a normal-traffic day this almost never fires; on a genuinely-empty morning it is a true positive (revenue funnel verifiably idle for an hour during prime business hours). Acceptable for the noise-reduction goal, with #330 tracking the more sophisticated "first checkout of day" precondition.

Adjacent rules — no regression:

  • WebhookErrorRate: unchanged, still increase(webhook_errors_total[5m]) > 0 for 5m at warning. ✓
  • Alertmanager inhibit_rules: unchanged, critical→warning suppression on alertname+namespace. ✓
  • Blackbox EndpointDown: unchanged from prior review (warning + 5m, expected-down targets removed). ✓
  • Dashboard JSON, basketball-api ConfigMap, defaultRules disable: unchanged. ✓

Comment block quality — strong.

The inline comment documents:

  1. UTC↔MST conversion (MST = UTC-7, business hours UTC 16:00-04:00)
  2. day_of_week() semantics (0=Sun, 1=Mon, ..., 6=Sat)
  3. The two-half split rationale ("today" vs "tomorrow" UTC)
  4. The exact failure modes a single-day filter would have produced (Fri MST 8-9pm missed, Sun MST 8-9pm false-fire)
  5. The for: 60m cushion purpose
  6. Pointer to the low-traffic-day follow-up

This is the kind of comment future maintainers actually want — explains why the expression is non-obvious, not just what it does.

BLOCKERS

None. Both prior blockers (off-by-one on each half-day window) are fixed.

NITS

  1. Comment-only: the inline comment says "tracked separately" but does not name issue #330 by number. A direct reference (see #330) would let future maintainers find the follow-up without grep. Non-blocking; the discovered-scope section of the PR body lists adjacent tickets but stops at #328, and #330 was filed after this PR opened so its absence in the PR body is expected.
  2. Description text: alert annotation says "30+ minutes" but with for: 60m the page only fires after 60 minutes of continuous staleness. Consider tightening to "60+ minutes" so on-call sees an accurate elapsed-time floor. Non-blocking; the staleness threshold (> 1800) is still 30min, so the message is technically true at the moment the staleness clock starts.

SOP COMPLIANCE

  • Branch 290-payment-pipeline-observability follows convention
  • PR body has Summary / Changes / Test Plan / Related Notes
  • Closes #290
  • No secrets committed (uncommitted salt/pillar/secrets/platform.sls left out as noted)
  • tofu fmt and tofu validate clean per PR body
  • Discovered-scope tickets (#322-#328, #330) filed
  • Follow-up ticket #330 exists and accurately captures the residual design wrinkle

PROCESS OBSERVATIONS

  • DORA-positive: this PR cuts alert fatigue (reducing MTTA on real incidents) and adds revenue-critical observability (faster MTTD on payment pipeline regressions). Two of the four DORA metrics improve directly.
  • Review-fix cycle worked as intended: prior QA caught a real correctness defect in the PromQL filter, dev fixed both halves with the suggested expression, and a separate ticket was opened for the residual wrinkle rather than expanding scope. This is the model.
  • Documentation gap addressed: the inline PromQL comment is now self-explanatory. No further docs updates needed for this PR.

VERDICT: APPROVED

## PR #329 Re-Review (after `6501a2d`) Re-review of the WebhookStale day-of-week and 16:00 UTC rollover findings from comment 15860. ### DOMAIN REVIEW **Stack**: Terraform (OpenTofu) + kube-prometheus-stack + Alertmanager + PrometheusRule CRDs + Grafana ConfigMap dashboards. **WebhookStale PromQL — verified correct:** ```promql (time() - webhook_last_received_timestamp{event_type="checkout.session.completed"} > 1800) and on() ((hour() >= 16 and day_of_week() > 0 and day_of_week() < 6) or (hour() < 4 and day_of_week() > 1 and day_of_week() < 7)) ``` Both half-day windows now match the intended business hours (Mon-Fri 9am-9pm MST): - **16:00-23:59 UTC half** = 9am-4:59pm MST same calendar day → `day_of_week() in {1,2,3,4,5}` (Mon-Fri). The `> 0 and < 6` strict-inequality form yields exactly that set. Correctly drops Sun (`0`) and Sat (`6`). ✓ - **00:00-04:00 UTC half** = 5pm-8:59pm MST previous calendar day → `day_of_week() in {2,3,4,5,6}` (Tue-Sat). The `> 1 and < 7` strict-inequality form yields exactly that set. Correctly drops Mon (`1`) — which would have been Sun MST evening, off-hours — and Sun (`0`). ✓ This matches the suggested fix exactly. The previously flagged off-by-one defects (Mon UTC late-night incorrectly included; Fri MST late-evening incorrectly excluded) are both resolved. **`for: 60m` cushion — sufficient as a partial mitigation:** At the daily 16:00 UTC rollover (9am MST = start of business hours), if `webhook_last_received_timestamp` is stale from overnight, the staleness condition will be true for the entire first hour. With `for: 60m`, the alert only pages if no `checkout.session.completed` arrives by 17:00 UTC = 10am MST. On a normal-traffic day this almost never fires; on a genuinely-empty morning it is a true positive (revenue funnel verifiably idle for an hour during prime business hours). Acceptable for the noise-reduction goal, with #330 tracking the more sophisticated "first checkout of day" precondition. **Adjacent rules — no regression:** - `WebhookErrorRate`: unchanged, still `increase(webhook_errors_total[5m]) > 0` for 5m at warning. ✓ - Alertmanager `inhibit_rules`: unchanged, critical→warning suppression on `alertname+namespace`. ✓ - Blackbox `EndpointDown`: unchanged from prior review (warning + 5m, expected-down targets removed). ✓ - Dashboard JSON, basketball-api ConfigMap, defaultRules disable: unchanged. ✓ **Comment block quality — strong.** The inline comment documents: 1. UTC↔MST conversion (`MST = UTC-7`, business hours UTC `16:00-04:00`) 2. `day_of_week()` semantics (`0=Sun, 1=Mon, ..., 6=Sat`) 3. The two-half split rationale ("today" vs "tomorrow" UTC) 4. The exact failure modes a single-day filter would have produced (Fri MST 8-9pm missed, Sun MST 8-9pm false-fire) 5. The `for: 60m` cushion purpose 6. Pointer to the low-traffic-day follow-up This is the kind of comment future maintainers actually want — explains why the expression is non-obvious, not just what it does. ### BLOCKERS None. Both prior blockers (off-by-one on each half-day window) are fixed. ### NITS 1. **Comment-only**: the inline comment says "tracked separately" but does not name issue #330 by number. A direct reference (`see #330`) would let future maintainers find the follow-up without grep. Non-blocking; the discovered-scope section of the PR body lists adjacent tickets but stops at #328, and #330 was filed after this PR opened so its absence in the PR body is expected. 2. **Description text**: alert annotation says "30+ minutes" but with `for: 60m` the page only fires after 60 minutes of continuous staleness. Consider tightening to "60+ minutes" so on-call sees an accurate elapsed-time floor. Non-blocking; the staleness threshold (`> 1800`) is still 30min, so the message is technically true at the moment the staleness clock starts. ### SOP COMPLIANCE - [x] Branch `290-payment-pipeline-observability` follows convention - [x] PR body has Summary / Changes / Test Plan / Related Notes - [x] Closes #290 - [x] No secrets committed (uncommitted `salt/pillar/secrets/platform.sls` left out as noted) - [x] `tofu fmt` and `tofu validate` clean per PR body - [x] Discovered-scope tickets (#322-#328, #330) filed - [x] Follow-up ticket #330 exists and accurately captures the residual design wrinkle ### PROCESS OBSERVATIONS - DORA-positive: this PR cuts alert fatigue (reducing MTTA on real incidents) and adds revenue-critical observability (faster MTTD on payment pipeline regressions). Two of the four DORA metrics improve directly. - Review-fix cycle worked as intended: prior QA caught a real correctness defect in the PromQL filter, dev fixed both halves with the suggested expression, and a separate ticket was opened for the residual wrinkle rather than expanding scope. This is the model. - Documentation gap addressed: the inline PromQL comment is now self-explanatory. No further docs updates needed for this PR. ### VERDICT: APPROVED
docs(observability): clarify WebhookStale annotation + reference #330
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c38aa1dc60
Two non-blocking nits from QA approval on PR #329:

1. Annotation said "30+ minutes" but `for: 60m` means the staleness
   condition has to be sustained for 60min before firing. Reword the
   summary and description to make both thresholds explicit.

2. Comment now references issue #330 by number for the deferred
   low-traffic-morning design fix, replacing the bare "tracked separately."

No behavior change.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
Author
Contributor

Applied both non-blocking nits from the approval:

  • Annotation summary/description now explicitly says "30+ min staleness sustained for 60+ min" so the two thresholds aren't ambiguous.
  • Inline comment now references #330 by number for the low-traffic-morning follow-up.

Doc-only changes, tofu validate clean. Approval should hold.

Applied both non-blocking nits from the approval: - Annotation summary/description now explicitly says "30+ min staleness sustained for 60+ min" so the two thresholds aren't ambiguous. - Inline comment now references #330 by number for the low-traffic-morning follow-up. Doc-only changes, `tofu validate` clean. Approval should hold.
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